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Preview: UFC 310 Prelims

Gorimbo vs. Luque


Welterweights

Themba Gorimbo (14-4, 4-1 UFC) vs. #14 WW | Vicente Luque (22-10-1, 15-6 UFC)

ODDS: Gorimbo (-162), Luque (+136)

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It’s still unclear exactly where Luque stands in 2024. For years, “The Silent Assassin” was the welterweight division’s best-kept secret. He didn’t particularly stand out as someone worth tracking coming off of “The Ultimate Fighter” in 2015, but the next four years saw him win 10 out of 11 fights, almost all of which were exciting performances that saw Luque prove to be a vicious finisher wherever the action went. Luque’s breakthrough year came in 2019. An all-out war against Bryan Barberena was one of the best fights of the calendar year, and Luque got in wins over Derrick Krantz and Mike Perry—the latter of which was also an excellent brawl—before Stephen Thompson finally stopped his momentum. Luque rebounded with four more wins in classic Luque fashion, combining constant pressure with an ability to eat enough damage to win a war of attrition. However, his 2022 campaign seemed to be the first hint that the wheels might be falling off. There was no shame in losing to Belal Muhammad in a main event spot to kick off the year, but Luque’s subsequent loss to Geoff Neal was much more worrisome. Luque’s dependence on going toe-to-toe with his opponents meant he kept walking into hard shots from the much faster-handed Neal before suffering the first knockout of his career. Someone with Luque’s approach was bound to get knocked out at some point, but the real cause for concern came ahead of his next fight against Rafael dos Anjos a year later, when he revealed that the reason for his layoff was due to bleeding on his brain. As far as that fight itself went, Luque’s performance was a mixed bag. He was able to stay ahead of the former lightweight champion in an ugly, clinch-heavy bout but also didn’t have much of his old spark or aggression in a clear decision win. Luque’s loss to Joaquin Buckley in March didn’t engender many positive feelings, either. Luque hung in the fight well enough for about a round and change but seemingly folded once a takedown attempt went wrong in the middle stanza, allowing Buckley to pound out a victory. Luque was initially slated to return against Nick Diaz here in a pairing that was certainly a choice, but the former Strikeforce champion has been replaced a few weeks out by Gorimbo.

Zimbabwe’s Gorimbo has been a shocking success story inside the UFC, since there wasn’t much on his regional record to suggest he should be signed outright. Gorimbo’s UFC debut against A.J. Fletcher didn’t go particularly well, but “The Answer” has reeled off four straight wins with a game that’s messy but effective, using wild strikes to lead into an aggressive and control-heavy wrestling game. It’s basic but effective thanks to Gorimbo’s sheer doggedness, and there’s a chance it works here once more. Luque has looked flat for the last few years, and Gorimbo could wind up finding his breaking point now that it apparently exists. However, Gorimbo also figures to dive into a lot of messy takedown attempts, and it’s hard not to see that being dangerous against someone with Luque’s grappling chops, particularly given his signature brabo choke. The pick is Luque via first-round submission.

Jump To »
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